Cover of The Coming Wave by Mustafa Suleyman - Business and Economics Book

From "The Coming Wave"

Author: Mustafa Suleyman
Publisher: Crown
Year: 2023
Category: Technology & Engineering

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Chapter 11: The Future of Nations
Key Insight 1 from this chapter

The Transformative Power of Innovation on Societies

Key Insight

The stirrup, a seemingly simple innovation, fundamentally altered battlefield dynamics. Before its advent, cavalry's impact was limited, as well-organized shield walls could dismount riders, making horses primarily transport. The stirrup fixed the rider and spear to the animal, combining their force, allowing a charge to smash through defenses rather than dismount the rider. This made heavy cavalry an overwhelming shock tactic, capable of breaking staunch infantry lines, shifting the balance of power decisively towards offense.

This technological shift, exemplified by Charles Martel using stirrup-enabled cavalry to expel Saracens from France, necessitated immense societal changes. To support expensive, highly trained heavy cavalry, Martel and his successors expropriated church lands to raise a warrior elite. This elite gained wealth for horses, training, and armor, in exchange for loyalty and military service, thus striking a 'grand bargain.'

This improvised pact evolved into feudalism, an elaborate system of obligations, bonded serfs, and a distinct culture that structured European life for nearly 1000 years. The stirrup's story reveals a crucial truth: new technologies establish new centers of power, supported by new social infrastructures. This historical pattern highlights how plummeting costs of power today are causing 'tectonic, techno-political earthquakes,' creating immediate challenges for the nation-state by amplifying everyone and everything, leading to both concentrated and dispersed power, and making existing states both fragile and prone to unchecked power.

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