From "Why Nations Fail"
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Free 10-min PreviewThe Black Death as a Critical Juncture and its Divergent Impact on European Institutions
Key Insight
The Bubonic Plague, known as the Black Death, reached Europe in 1346 via the Silk Road and Genoese traders, quickly spreading from Tana to Constantinople by early 1347, and across France, North Africa, and Italy by spring 1348. This catastrophic pestilence annihilated roughly half of the population in affected regions. Contemporary accounts, such as Giovanni Boccaccio's, vividly described the terrifying onset of symptoms including 'egg-shaped' or 'apple-sized swellings' in the groin or armpit, followed by 'dark blotches and bruises,' with death often occurring within three days. Despite anticipatory prayers organized by figures like King Edward III and bishops, these spiritual efforts proved ineffectual against the plague's devastating advance.
The plague's immense demographic impact triggered a profound social, economic, and political transformation in medieval European societies, critically undermining the feudal order. The massive scarcity of labor empowered the surviving peasant population, allowing them to demand significant changes. For instance, at Eynsham Abbey in 1349, only two tenants remained, who then successfully negotiated a new contract with Abbot Nicholas of Upton, demanding reduced fines and unpaid labor services under the threat of departure. This shift in bargaining power was widespread, leading to a decline in compulsory feudal labor and a notable increase in wages across Western Europe.
Government attempts to curb these changes, such as England's 1351 Statute of Laborers, which aimed to fix wages at pre-plague levels (around 1347) and imprisoned workers who left employment, ultimately failed. The 1381 Peasants' Revolt, though ultimately suppressed, ensured the abandonment of such enforcement efforts. Consequently, feudal labor services in England dwindled, an inclusive labor market began to emerge, and wages rose. In stark contrast, Eastern Europe, despite experiencing similar demographic and economic pressures, saw stronger, better-organized landlords, weaker towns, and less organized peasants. This led to an intensification of peasant servitude, known as the 'Second Serfdom,' driven by demand for agricultural goods from Western Europe, exemplified by Korczyn, Poland, where nearly half of labor for lords became unpaid forced labor by 1600, and Mecklenberg, where unpaid labor increased from a few days annually in 1500 to three days per week by 1600.
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